上海大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2019, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (6): 898-907.doi: 10.12066/j.issn.1007-2861.2013

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

男男性行为人群中 HIV/AIDS 行为干预的动力学模型

梁小娇1, 阮玉华2, 娄洁1()   

  1. 1. 上海大学 理学院, 上海 200444
    2. 传染病预防控制国家重点实验室, 北京 102200
  • 收稿日期:2017-11-29 出版日期:2019-12-30 发布日期:2019-12-31
  • 通讯作者: 娄洁 E-mail:jie.lou@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(11771277)

Dynamics model of HIV/AIDS intervention in MSM population

Xiaojiao LIANG1, Yuhua RUAN2, Jie LOU1()   

  1. 1. College of Sciences, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China
    2. State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 102200, China
  • Received:2017-11-29 Online:2019-12-30 Published:2019-12-31
  • Contact: Jie LOU E-mail:jie.lou@126.com

摘要:

通过动力学模型探讨了男男性行为者(men who have sex with men, MSM)中 HIV 的防治策略, 研究发现: 与实现联合国艾滋病规划署提出了"2030 年终结艾滋病"的 "3 个 90%" 防治目标相比, 若能做到一级预防, 即增加对艾滋病易感者进行行为干预, 如增加对易感者人群的宣传教育、提高有效的安全套的使用率等措施, 才能更快地降低艾滋病感染率; 在对抗 MSM 人群中的 HIV 传播过程中, 对易感者的干预效果大于对感染者的干预效果.

关键词: HIV/AIDS, 一级干预, 动力学模型, 基本再生数

Abstract:

This paper addresses the issue of HIV prevention in the men who have sex with men (MSM) population through the dynamics model. It suggests that in the context of "the three 9%" prevention targets set by UNAIDS the most effective measures to be taken at the present stage can be the increase of intervention among susceptible people, and concrete methods include education, increase of condom use and HIV testing. When these measures are in place, HIV infection can be better controlled in the local community.

Key words: HIV/AIDS, first level intervention, dynamics model, basic reproductive number

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