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Applied Mathematics and Mechanics (English Edition) ›› 1998, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 253-262.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

PANDERIVATIVE BLOWN-UP OF GROUND TEMPERATUREAND PREDICTING EARTHQUAKE

李超1, 欧阳首承1, 汤懋苍2   

  1. 1. Chengdu Intitute of Meteorology, Chengdu 610041, P. R. China;
    2. Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou 730000, P. R. China
  • 收稿日期:1996-06-26 出版日期:1998-03-18 发布日期:1998-03-18
  • 基金资助:
    Project supported by the National Fundamental Key Program "Research on Climatic Dynamics and Climatic Predicting Theory"

PANDERIVATIVE BLOWN-UP OF GROUND TEMPERATURE AND PREDICTING EARTHQUAKE

Li Chao1, Ouyang Shoucheng1, Tang Maocang2   

  1. 1. Chengdu Intitute of Meteorology, Chengdu 610041, P. R. China;
    2. Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou 730000, P. R. China
  • Received:1996-06-26 Online:1998-03-18 Published:1998-03-18
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the National Fundamental Key Program "Research on Climatic Dynamics and Climatic Predicting Theory"

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摘要： According to the blown-up theory (deseribed in references [1, 2]) for nonlineardynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation,optimsationand panderivative blown-up,, by means of blown-up theory we demonstrate that theblolwn-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution ofobservational ground temperature temperature flow in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates thatthe blown-up of ground temperature flow around earthquake can be applied to prediclearthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months.If ground temperature flow that embodies the earth’s crust satisfies theunintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.

关键词: ground temperature ’flow’, blown-up, panderivative, predicting

Abstract: According to the blown-up theory (deseribed in references [1, 2]) for nonlineardynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation,optimsationand panderivative blown-up,, by means of blown-up theory we demonstrate that theblolwn-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution ofobservational ground temperature temperature flow in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates thatthe blown-up of ground temperature flow around earthquake can be applied to prediclearthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months.If ground temperature flow that embodies the earth’s crust satisfies theunintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.

Key words: ground temperature ’flow’, blown-up, panderivative, predicting

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